Cutting it close: Florida’s fate may be a matter of miles

For Florida, just a handful of miles may make a huge difference in Hurricane Dorian’s slow dance with the coast.

The National Hurricane Center forecasts Dorian to be 40 to 50 miles off the Florida coast on Tuesday and Wednesday, with hurricane-force wind speeds extending about 35 miles to the west. But that’s just one point that forecasters have to choose to place the monstrous storm that packed 185 mph winds on Sunday. It could be within 100 miles of that point , which is why the hurricane center uses — and emphasizes — a shaded cone of uncertainty and much of the Florida coast is in that cone.

Dorian’s small size and powerful winds make forecasting its path along the coast delicate and difficult.

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