USC/LA Times governor’s poll
SAN DIEGO (KUSI) — The latest polling in the governor’s race indicates with a fair amount of certainty that a Democrat will advance to November and that Democrat is likely to be Gavin Newsom.
So the June Primary fight is for second place between Republican John Cox and Democrat Antonio Villaraigosa.
The latest USC LA Times poll of likely voters validates previous polls showing Newsom with a commanding lead, but previous polls had John Cox with higher numbers.
Here are the numbers:
- Newsom at 21 percent
- Villaraigosa at 11 percent
- Cox at 10 percent
- 39 percent undecided
The remaining candidates are in the single digits.
This sets up second place as a volatile and unpredictable, much of it being driven by special interest groups who are pouring millions into TV ads and mailers.
Villaraigosa is running in a crowded field of progressive Democrats, splitting votes he needs.
John Cox is a conservative Republican endorsed by the president and running on traditional Republican policies.
On Good Morning San Diego, they expressed their views on three issues:
“I think the key is growing middle class jobs, education and training the workfoce for the jobs of the future, Villaraigosa said. “I think the next governor is gonna have to address an economy that’s not working enough for people.”
John Cox is committed to growing the economy.
“I committed to growth and I’d like to see more opportunity for small busibness, that really feeds growth, and most people work for small businesses,” he said.
Villaraigosa supports the gas tax hike.
“Yes we have to fix those roads and bridges but we need to put that money in a lock box and there’s a proposition, an initiative on the ballot to do that,” he said. “We didn’t need to pass the gas tax, they’ve got plenty of money to build roads, they just want to hand it out to the croney’s to campaign contributors and then stick their hands into the pockets of taxpayers in order to fund all this excess.”
John Cox commented on sanctuary state laws.
“The biggest problem, which is what sanctuary state gets people riled up about, is the fact that it protects criminals,” he said. “It just means if, it’s something minor, the police aren’t cooperating with ICE agents.”
With 12 Democrats on the ballot, and Newsom ahead by double digits, Villaraigosa has an uphill fight. He has to get a substantial number of Latino votes, as well as independents in the Central Valley.
Cox is the front-runner among Republicans. He could be helped by his opposition to the gax tax hike, but above all, he needs to unify Republican votes.
The poll was done in April and May, with a 4 percent margin of error.
And Republicans tend to vote in higher numbers in primaries. That could also help Cox to be the second candidate in November.
The bad news is Republicans are now third in registration statewide.